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Nart Cherkessk vs Spartak Nalchik

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mashezov R.
Penalty Missed
8'
Zhaboev I.
26' Event
Yagyaev M.

AI Match Summary

Nart Cherkessk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nart Cherkessk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nart Cherkessk
15%
Draws
28%
Spartak Nalchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Spartak Nalchik at 1.45 per game, Nart Cherkessk at 1.17.
  • Nart Cherkessk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nart Cherkessk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nart Cherkessk Spartak Nalchik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk
0:1
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Spartak Nalchik
1:0
Jun 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Spartak Nalchik
5:0
Apr 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Nart Cherkessk
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yagyaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nart Cherkessk 75 / 100
Spartak Nalchik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nart Cherkessk Spartak Nalchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nart Cherkessk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Nart Cherkessk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Spartak Nalchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Spartak Nalchik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nart Cherkessk VS Spartak Nalchik
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nart Cherkessk

(Home)
19 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
3 : 0
Angust Nazran
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
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Spartak Nalchik

(Away)
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
26 Aug
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
3 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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