Sport Picks

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Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mukhtar H.
Assist: Madrigal W.
21' Event
Mukhtar H.
22' Event
Martinez D.
Assist: Bouanga D.

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nashville SC
30%
Draws
34%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Los Angeles FC at 1.5 per game, Nashville SC at 1.38.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC
3:2
Mar 24, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Nashville SC
5:0
Apr 23, 2023 MLS
Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Nashville SC
0:1
Jul 18, 2022 MLS
Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhtar H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouanga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 36 / 100
Los Angeles FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nashville SC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nashville SC scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Los Angeles FC has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Los Angeles FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
CF Montreal
18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
Atlanta United
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC

(Away)
23 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Real Salt Lake
18 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
Los Angeles FC
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
6New York City1664627:2222
7Charlotte FC1664626:2522
8New York Red Bulls1664626:3522
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)