Sport Picks

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Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nashville SC
35%
Draws
18%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nashville SC lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Fire.
  • Model gives Nashville SC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 16%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Chicago Fire
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
1:4
Jun 15, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 84 / 100
Chicago Fire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Chicago Fire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Nashville SC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chicago Fire conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nashville SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Chicago Fire
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati
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Chicago Fire

(Away)
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2
Chicago Fire
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