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National Bank Egypt vs Wadi Degla

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Petrosport Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

National Bank Egypt play Wadi Degla in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, National Bank Egypt averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Wadi Degla averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, National Bank Egypt won 0, Wadi Degla won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for National Bank Egypt and 1.50 for Wadi Degla. This points to a Wadi Degla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
National Bank Egypt
35%
Draws
36%
Wadi Degla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wadi Degla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • National Bank Egypt picked up more points recently compared to Wadi Degla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
National Bank Egypt Clean Sheet 16%
Wadi Degla Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric National Bank Egypt Wadi Degla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs National Bank Egypt
2:0
Jan 5, 2026 League Cup
National Bank Egypt vs Wadi Degla
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 Premier League
National Bank Egypt vs Wadi Degla
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs National Bank Egypt
4:2
Feb 11, 2021 Egypt Cup
Wadi Degla vs National Bank Egypt
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

National Bank Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wadi Degla Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

National Bank Egypt 29 / 100
Wadi Degla 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
National Bank Egypt Wadi Degla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wadi Degla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

National Bank Egypt attacking → ← attacking Wadi Degla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

National Bank Egypt scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Wadi Degla let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

National Bank Egypt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wadi Degla lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 50
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92