Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nautico vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vinicius
Assist: Kauan Maranhao
28'
Boschilia
45'
Sub
de Moraes Rodrigues O. In: Gabriel Feliciano
Out: de Moraes Rodrigues O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nautico
35%
Draws
34%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR have won more games recently than Nautico.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Nautico Clean Sheet 23%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Operario-PR
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Operario-PR
3:3
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Nautico
2:6
Jul 29, 2023 Serie C
Operario-PR vs Nautico
1:1
Aug 5, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Nautico
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Serie B
Nautico vs Operario-PR
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danielzinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Diniz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boschilia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 37 / 100
Operario-PR 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nautico scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Nautico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS Operario-PR
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Nautico
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Operario-PR

(Away)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Operario-PR 29 13 8 8 41:36 47
6 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
7 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
12 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
13 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
14 Nautico 29 10 8 11 35:36 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)