Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navad Urmia vs Arvand Khorramshahr

Iran Iran

Division 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pirhadi E.
48' Event
Mohammadi F.
52' Event
Mohammadi F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Navad Urmia in this Division 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navad Urmia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Navad Urmia
28%
Draws
50%
Arvand Khorramshahr
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arvand Khorramshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Arvand Khorramshahr have won more games recently than Navad Urmia.
  • Arvand Khorramshahr are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 18%
Arvand Khorramshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navad Urmia Arvand Khorramshahr
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2019 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Arvand Khorramshahr
3:1
Nov 17, 2018 Azadegan League
Arvand Khorramshahr vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadi F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Arvand Khorramshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirhadi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 23 / 100
Arvand Khorramshahr 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navad Urmia Arvand Khorramshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arvand Khorramshahr let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Arvand Khorramshahr's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Navad Urmia scored in 41% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Navad Urmia

(Home)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 7

Arvand Khorramshahr

(Away)
30 Apr
Khooneh
3 : 0
Arvand Khorramshahr
23 Apr
Arvand Khorramshahr
1 : 0
Qashqai Shiraz
10 Apr
Arvand Khorramshahr
0 : 2
Gol Reyhan Alborz
04 Apr
Navad Urmia
3 : 1
Arvand Khorramshahr
29 Mar
Arvand Khorramshahr
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gol Gohar301513247:2658
2Shahin Bushehr301412434:1754
3Gol Reyhan Alborz30139830:1948
4Aluminium Arak301212627:2348
5Mes Kerman301211738:2247
6Havadar SC301110948:3843
7Baderan Tehran301110935:3243
8Qashqai Shiraz301161328:3439
9Fajr Sepasi309111026:2438
10Mes Rafsanjan30991240:4236
11Malavan301011929:2835
12Khooneh307101322:3031
13Navad Urmia307101323:4031
14Shahrdari Tabriz306101427:4528
15Arvand Khorramshahr306101417:3628
16Shahrdari Mahshahr305101519:3425
17Meshki Pooshan00000:00
18Bargh00000:00
19Naft Tehran00000:00
20Machine Sazi Tabriz00000:00
21Gostaresh00000:00
22Esteghlal Jonoub00000:00
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)