Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navad Urmia vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Amini M. T.

AI Match Summary

Navad Urmia in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navad Urmia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Navad Urmia
6%
Draws
90%
Shahrdari Noshahr
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shahrdari Noshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shahrdari Noshahr have won more games recently than Navad Urmia.
  • Model gives Shahrdari Noshahr a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 18%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navad Urmia Shahrdari Noshahr
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 10 13
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amini M. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Shahrdari Noshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 10 / 100
Shahrdari Noshahr 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navad Urmia Shahrdari Noshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shahrdari Noshahr conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Navad Urmia scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Shahrdari Noshahr's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS Shahrdari Noshahr
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Navad Urmia

(Home)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Shahrdari Noshahr

(Away)
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2026/2027 (Main)
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