Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Navad Urmia

1 - 0

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Azadikhah S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Navad Urmia and Shenavarsazi Qeshm finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navad Urmia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Navad Urmia

Draws

90%

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Shenavarsazi Qeshm carry the better recent record into this one.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 14%

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Navad Urmia	Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	6
Draws	10	10
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	0.13	1
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Oct 6, 2025 Azadegan League

Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Navad Urmia

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Azadikhah S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 10 / 100

Shenavarsazi Qeshm 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Navad Urmia Shenavarsazi Qeshm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Navad Urmia scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Shenavarsazi Qeshm has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS Shenavarsazi Qeshm

0.13 Goals Scored 1

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	34	20	9	5	48:17	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	34	19	11	4	41:14	68
3	Sanat Naft	34	16	12	6	37:21	60
4	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	16	12	6	44:22	60
5	Saipa	34	16	11	7	30:18	59
6	Havadar SC	34	11	17	6	32:23	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	34	10	17	7	26:19	47
8	Fard	34	10	16	8	24:15	46
9	Mes Kerman	34	10	15	9	23:18	45
10	Ario Eslamshahr	34	9	16	9	19:18	43
11	Besat Kermanshah	34	9	11	14	25:32	38
12	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	9	10	15	17:34	37
13	Niroye Zamini	34	8	12	14	28:31	36
14	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	34	8	11	15	23:36	35
15	Naft Gachsaran	34	7	14	13	25:41	35
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	34	5	15	14	18:29	30
17	Navad Urmia	34	4	12	18	16:48	24
18	Damash Gilan	34	2	13	19	16:56	19