Sport Picks
Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor
Uzbekistan
Super League 2025 Markaziy Stadium, Namangan 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sergeev I.
Assist: Alizhonov K.
29'
29'
Teidi B.
45'
45'
Pedro
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pakhtakor lately — more wins on the board than Navbahor Namangan.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 18%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navbahor Namangan | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 25 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Navbahor Namangan
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor
5:2
Aug 30, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Pakhtakor vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Navbahor Namangan Compare
Top Goalscorer Urinboev Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Sergeev I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navbahor Namangan 36 / 100
Pakhtakor 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navbahor Namangan Pakhtakor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navbahor Namangan found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).
Pakhtakor has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Navbahor Namangan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Navbahor Namangan VS Pakhtakor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Navbahor Namangan
(Home) 23 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Qizilqum
17 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 3 OKMK
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Navbahor Namangan
29 Apr
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
23 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Qizilqum
17 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 3 OKMK
23 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Sogdiana
12 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 1 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 3
Pakhtakor
(Away) 21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
17 Jul
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
03 May
Termez Surkhon
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
28 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
22 Apr
Buxoro
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 5
03 May
Termez Surkhon
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
22 Apr
Buxoro
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
20 Mar
Sogdiana
2 : 4 Pakhtakor
15 Mar
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 49:24 | 64 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Nasaf Qarshi | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 51:23 | 59 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 47:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48:40 | 49 |
| 6 | OKMK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44:34 | 48 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 41:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Sogdiana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37:37 | 37 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 28:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Termez Surkhon | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:30 | 35 |
| 11 | Andijan | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 39:51 | 35 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 24:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:48 | 30 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30:49 | 27 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33:39 | 27 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:57 | 17 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Super League 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Main)