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Naviraiense U20 vs Uniao AC U20

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Sul-Matogrossense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense U20 play Uniao AC U20 in the Sul-Matogrossense U20. Naviraiense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Naviraiense U20 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Uniao AC U20 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. In past meetings, Naviraiense U20 won 2, Uniao AC U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 20, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Naviraiense U20 and 0.81 for Uniao AC U20. This points to a Naviraiense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Naviraiense U20
15%
Draws
12%
Uniao AC U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naviraiense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naviraiense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Uniao AC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Naviraiense U20 Clean Sheet 26%
Uniao AC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense U20 Uniao AC U20
Matches Played 13 6
Wins 6 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.31 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.54 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Naviraiense U20 vs Uniao AC U20
4:2
Jun 18, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Uniao AC U20 vs Naviraiense U20
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense U20 71 / 100
Uniao AC U20 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense U20 Uniao AC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Naviraiense U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Naviraiense U20 attacking → ← attacking Uniao AC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naviraiense U20 scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Uniao AC U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Naviraiense U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Uniao AC U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 0
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Naviraiense U20641115:913
2Ivinhema U20632117:511
3Campo Grande U20631211:510
4Uniao AC U2060063:270
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gremio Santo Antonio U2064029:612
2Real FC/CAMS U2063129:810
3Sao Gabriel MS U2062225:68
4Coxim U2061144:74