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Naviraiense vs Ivinhema

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Naviraiense and Ivinhema finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Naviraiense
28%
Draws
22%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ivinhema haven't matched Naviraiense's recent run of results.
  • Naviraiense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 10%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense Ivinhema
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Ivinhema
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Ivinhema
0:2
Mar 26, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Ivinhema
3:1
Feb 25, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Naviraiense
1:1
Mar 13, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Naviraiense
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 47 / 100
Ivinhema 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Naviraiense scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Naviraiense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Ivinhema
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137