Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naxara vs River Ebro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Orodea J.
13' Event
Orodea J.
20' Event
Orodea J.

AI Match Summary

Naxara in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Naxara
15%
Draws
42%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naxara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • River Ebro haven't matched Naxara's recent run of results.
  • Naxara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Naxara Clean Sheet 20%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara River Ebro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs River Ebro
6:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Naxara
2:4
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs River Ebro
2:0
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Naxara
2:2
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Naxara
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Orodea J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Landin I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

River Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 85 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naxara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Naxara scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

River Ebro let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: River Ebro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
Page 1 of 7

River Ebro

(Away)
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
12 Apr
River Ebro
0 : 2
Varea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)