Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nea Salamis vs Digenis Akritas

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Wed, Jan 21, 2026
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Borges M.
37' Event
Nyssis K.
64'
Kastanas K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Nea Salamis
30%
Draws
29%
Digenis Akritas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nea Salamis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nea Salamis lately — more wins on the board than Digenis Akritas.
  • Win probability leans Nea Salamis's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Nea Salamis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Digenis Akritas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 20%
Digenis Akritas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Salamis Digenis Akritas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.24 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Nea Salamis vs Digenis Akritas
2:3
Sep 28, 2025 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Nea Salamis
0:2
Feb 19, 2011 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Nea Salamis
0:5
Nov 7, 2010 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs Digenis Akritas
0:0
Sep 30, 2009 Cyprus Cup
Nea Salamis vs Digenis Akritas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nea Salamis Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kontopoulos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Digenis Akritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyssis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Salamis 67 / 100
Digenis Akritas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Salamis Digenis Akritas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nea Salamis scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Digenis Akritas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Nea Salamis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nea Salamis VS Digenis Akritas
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Salamis

(Home)
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
22 Aug
Nea Salamis
3 : 1
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 6

Digenis Akritas

(Away)
19 Sept
Digenis Akritas
0 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
12 Sept
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 0
Digenis Akritas
25 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 1
AEZ Zakakiou
21 Apr
Ethnikos Latsion
2 : 1
Digenis Akritas
04 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2