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NEFC vs Ironbound SC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Marciniak M.
51' Event
Agostinho S.
70' Event
Grenha R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Ironbound SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NEFC
6%
Draws
90%
Ironbound SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ironbound SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • NEFC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ironbound SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • NEFC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ironbound SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
NEFC Clean Sheet 10%
Ironbound SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEFC Ironbound SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 USL League Two
NEFC vs Ironbound SC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEFC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ironbound SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marciniak M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agostinho S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEFC 10 / 100
Ironbound SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEFC Ironbound SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEFC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Ironbound SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

NEFC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NEFC VS Ironbound SC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NEFC

(Home)
15 Jul
NEFC
0 : 3
Ironbound SC
09 Jul
NEFC
1 : 0
Albany Rush
07 Jul
NEFC
4 : 2
Boston City
01 Jul
NEFC
0 : 4
Vermont Green
24 Jun
Connecticut Rush
1 : 2
NEFC
Page 1 of 6

Ironbound SC

(Away)
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
15 Jul
NEFC
0 : 3
Ironbound SC
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
2 : 2
Ironbound SC
05 Jul
Ironbound SC
3 : 0
Staten Island ASC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Asheville City1
Virginia Beach United0
LVU Rush0
Appalachian FC1
NEFC0
Ironbound SC3