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Neftchi Fargona vs Dinamo Batumi

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Neftchi Fargona and Dinamo Batumi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Fargona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Neftchi Fargona
6%
Draws
4%
Dinamo Batumi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 18%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Fargona Dinamo Batumi
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Neftchi Fargona vs Dinamo Batumi
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Fargona 85 / 100
Dinamo Batumi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Fargona Dinamo Batumi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftchi Fargona found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Dinamo Batumi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Neftchi Fargona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Fargona VS Dinamo Batumi
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftchi Fargona

(Home)
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5
Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0
Kokand 1912
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Dinamo Batumi

(Away)
25 Jul
Orbi
1 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
16 Jul
Amedspor
2 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
15 Jul
Rizespor
3 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
23 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
17 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
2 : 3
Dinamo Batumi
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