Sport Picks
Neftchi Fargona vs Lok. Tashkent
Uzbekistan
Super League Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Neftchi Fargona and Lok. Tashkent finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Fargona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftchi Fargona carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Fargona | Lok. Tashkent |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Lok. Tashkent Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftchi Fargona scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Lok. Tashkent conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Neftchi Fargona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftchi Fargona
(Home)Lok. Tashkent
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 23 |
| 4 | OKMK | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Navbahor Namangan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Bunyodkor | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Nasaf Qarshi | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Andijan | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Din. Samarkand | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Termez Surkhon | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:30 | 12 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6:22 | 4 |