Sport Picks
Neftci Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
Azerbaijan
Premier League 2025/2026 Palms Sports Arena, Baku 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Neftci Baku and Qarabag Agdam finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Neftci Baku on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Qarabag Agdam have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftci Baku | Qarabag Agdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftci Baku Compare
Qarabag Agdam Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftci Baku found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Qarabag Agdam has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.
Recent resilience: Neftci Baku stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftci Baku
(Home)Qarabag Agdam
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag Agdam | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz PFK | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | 46 |
| 7 | SumQayit FK | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | 27 |
| 11 | Gabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | 15 |
