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Neftci Baku vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Mathew I.
46'
Sub
Mathew I. In: D'Almeida S.
Out: Mathew I.
46'
Sub
Ortiz L. In: Khachayev M.
Out: Ortiz L.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Neftci Baku
20%
Draws
38%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftci Baku lately — more wins on the board than Turan.
  • Win probability leans Neftci Baku's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 68%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftci Baku Turan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Turan
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Neftci Baku
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Turan
0:1
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Neftci Baku
1:2
Mar 10, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Turan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftci Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo Batista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftci Baku 51 / 100
Turan 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftci Baku Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftci Baku scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Turan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turan let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Neftci Baku VS Turan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftci Baku

(Home)
22 Jul
Neftci Baku
2 : 4
Din. Minsk
13 Jul
Neftci Baku
0 : 1
Osijek
10 Jul
Radnicki Nis
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
06 Jul
Partizan
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
02 Jul
Neftci Baku
1 : 2
CFR Cluj
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
27 Apr
Turan
1 : 1
Zira FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)