Sport Picks
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
48'
48'
Kitika J.
72'
72'
Birhanu T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Negele Arsi Ketema FC and Hadiya Hossana finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Negele Arsi Ketema FC come out ahead of Hadiya Hossana on wins alone.
- Negele Arsi Ketema FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | Hadiya Hossana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kitika J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Hadiya Hossana Compare
Top Goalscorer Birhanu T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 51 / 100
Hadiya Hossana 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Hadiya Hossana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Negele Arsi Ketema FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Hadiya Hossana has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Hadiya Hossana
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Home) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 7
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 3
Hadiya Hossana
(Away) 03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
14 May
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
04 May
Welayta Dicha
1 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
