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Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup
Wed, Feb 11, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
El Fadl A.
23' Event
Kaafarani H.
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nejmeh SC
20%
Draws
23%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nejmeh SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Nejmeh SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nejmeh SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nejmeh SC Jwayya SC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Nejmeh SC
0:0
Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Nejmeh SC
2:1
May 12, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Fadl A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaafarani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 59 / 100
Jwayya SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nejmeh SC Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nejmeh SC scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nejmeh SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jwayya SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nejmeh SC VS Jwayya SC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nejmeh SC

(Home)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nejmeh SC 1
Al Ansar 0
Jwayya SC 2
Safa 1
Al Ahed 3
Tadamon 1
Al Hikma 2
Al Mabarrah 1
Semi-finals
Nejmeh SC 2
Jwayya SC 1
Al Ahed 0
Al Hikma 1
Final
Nejmeh SC 2
Al Hikma 0