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Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup
Wed, Feb 11, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
El Fadl A.
23' Event
Kaafarani H.
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Lebanese Cup game between Nejmeh SC and Jwayya SC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nejmeh SC
6%
Draws
4%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nejmeh SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nejmeh SC Jwayya SC
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 20 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Nejmeh SC
0:0
Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Nejmeh SC
2:1
May 12, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Jwayya SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Fadl A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaafarani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 95 / 100
Jwayya SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nejmeh SC Jwayya SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nejmeh SC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Nejmeh SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Jwayya SC conceded in 46% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nejmeh SC VS Jwayya SC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ansar0
Jwayya SC2
Safa1
Al Ahed3
Tadamon1
Al Hikma2
Al-Mabarrah1
Semi-finals
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya SC1
Al Ahed0
Al Hikma1
Final
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma0