Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neptunas vs FK Panevezys 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis, Klaipeda
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Zubauskas D.
13'
Bondarev N.
20' Event
Zubauskas D.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2025 game between Neptunas and FK Panevezys 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neptunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Neptunas
6%
Draws
4%
FK Panevezys 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neptunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Panevezys 2 haven't matched Neptunas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Neptunas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 68%
FK Panevezys 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neptunas FK Panevezys 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Panevezys 2
3:0
Jun 25, 2025 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs Neptunas
2:5
Aug 9, 2024 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Panevezys 2
4:3
Mar 17, 2024 I Lyga
FK Panevezys 2 vs Neptunas
0:0
Sep 6, 2023 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Panevezys 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neptunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubauskas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hevlych T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

FK Panevezys 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neptunas 95 / 100
FK Panevezys 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neptunas FK Panevezys 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Panevezys 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Neptunas found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Neptunas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neptunas VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neptunas

(Home)
20 Jul
Transinvest 2
2 : 2
Neptunas
27 Jun
Dainava Alytus
1 : 0
Neptunas
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
10 Jun
Neptunas
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
05 Jun
Ekranas
1 : 2
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys 2

(Away)
09 Nov
Neptunas
3 : 0
FK Panevezys 2
31 Oct
FK Panevezys 2
3 : 7
FK Babrungas
24 Oct
BE1 NFA
4 : 1
FK Panevezys 2
17 Oct
FK Panevezys 2
0 : 3
Transinvest
04 Oct
Zalgiris 2
1 : 1
FK Panevezys 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2025 (Relegation)