Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ner Poddebice vs Otwock

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Otwock in this III Liga - Group VI matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Otwock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ner Poddebice
11%
Draws
9%
Otwock
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ner Poddebice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ner Poddebice average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Otwock's 0.25.
  • Win probability leans Ner Poddebice's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ner Poddebice Clean Sheet 15%
Otwock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ner Poddebice Otwock
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Otwock vs Ner Poddebice
0:0
Nov 3, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Ner Poddebice vs Otwock
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ner Poddebice 75 / 100
Otwock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ner Poddebice Otwock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Otwock conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Otwock lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ner Poddebice scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ner Poddebice VS Otwock
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ner Poddebice

(Home)
18 Feb
KTS Weszlo
5 : 2
Ner Poddebice
01 Jul
Ner Poddebice
0 : 9
Buczek
28 Jul
Ner Poddebice
3 : 2
GLKS Zawisza Rzgow
14 Jul
Ner Poddebice
0 : 1
Pelikan
04 Jun
Ner Poddebice
3 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Otwock

(Away)
04 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Otwock
01 Jun
Otwock
0 : 0
Ner Poddebice
28 May
Polonia Warszawa
5 : 1
Otwock
22 May
Otwock
0 : 6
Ursus Warszawa
18 May
Warta Dzialoszyn
2 : 0
Otwock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)