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Neretva vs HNK Zadar

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Neretva Logo

Neretva

1 - 0
FT
HNK Zadar Logo

HNK Zadar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neretva in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neretva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Neretva
20%
Draws
15%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neretva lately — more wins on the board than HNK Zadar.
  • Neretva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Neretva Clean Sheet 15%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretva HNK Zadar
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.19 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretva vs HNK Zadar
1:0
Nov 16, 2021 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Neretva
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretva 84 / 100
HNK Zadar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretva HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Neretva scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Neretva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

HNK Zadar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Neretva VS HNK Zadar
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretva

(Home)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)