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Stadium Background

Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Kedainiai Stadium, Kedainiai
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Match Events

3' Event
Brazys V.
15' Event
Stelmokas T.
17' Event
Stelmokas T.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2025 game between Nevezis Kedainiai and FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nevezis Kedainiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nevezis Kedainiai
33%
Draws
40%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nevezis Kedainiai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 14%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nevezis Kedainiai FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
4:3
Jun 28, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:2
Aug 23, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
6:0
Mar 29, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Veldman M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mohil Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stelmokas T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brazys V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevezis Kedainiai 27 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nevezis Kedainiai FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Nevezis Kedainiai scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nevezis Kedainiai VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nevezis Kedainiai

(Home)
09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2
Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 6

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Away)
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
FK Babrungas
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
BFA Vilnius
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2025 (Relegation)