Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025 Kedainiai Stadium, Kedainiai
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ellah C.
43' Event
Maiga M.
62' Event
Traore M.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this Lithuanian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nevezis Kedainiai
6%
Draws
90%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Minija lately — more wins on the board than Nevezis Kedainiai.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FK Minija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Minija, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nevezis Kedainiai FK Minija
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 25
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0 3.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Minija
1:3
Apr 29, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Minija
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Nevezis Kedainiai
0:0
May 11, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Minija
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellah C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maiga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100
FK Minija 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nevezis Kedainiai FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevezis Kedainiai scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FK Minija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nevezis Kedainiai stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Minija
0 Goals Scored 3.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nevezis Kedainiai

(Home)
09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2
Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
Page 1 of 6

FK Minija

(Away)
28 Jul
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
FK Minija
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
26 Jun
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Minija
23 Jun
FK Minija
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
20 Jun
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
FK Minija
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius4
Pempininkai2
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Babrungas2
Nevezis Kedainiai1
FK Minija3
FK Cementininkas2
Dziugas Telsiai3
Sirijus0
Transinvest5
VGTU Vilkai0
FC Hegelmann6
FK Atmosfera0
Banga2
Riteriai1
FA Siauliai2
Dainava Alytus0
Zalgiris6
Neptunas0
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Utenis1
Tauras Taurage5
Vilnius FA0
Suduva4
Kazlu Ruda1
BE1 NFA0
Klaipedos FM2
Jonava3
Garliava1
Ekranas0
Trivartis Vilnius0
FK Panevezys13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius0
FK Babrungas6
FK Minija0
Dziugas Telsiai1
Transinvest0
FC Hegelmann1
Banga0
FA Siauliai1
Zalgiris2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Tauras Taurage1
Suduva3
Kazlu Ruda1
Jonava4
Garliava0
FK Panevezys3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas1
Dziugas Telsiai2
FC Hegelmann3
FA Siauliai1
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Suduva2
Jonava1
FK Panevezys4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai1
FC Hegelmann2
Suduva0
FK Panevezys2
Final
FC Hegelmann0
FK Panevezys1