Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Motema Pembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motema Pembe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Motema Pembe have won more games recently than New Jack.
- 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
New Jack Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Jack | Motema Pembe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Motema Pembe
1:2
Oct 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs New Jack
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs New Jack
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Motema Pembe
1:2
Nov 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs New Jack
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Jack 36 / 100
Motema Pembe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Jack Motema Pembe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motema Pembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motema Pembe let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: New Jack stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
New Jack's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
New Jack VS Motema Pembe
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
New Jack
(Home) 18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0 New Jack
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
01 Apr
New Jack
1 : 2 AS Vita Club
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2 OC Renaissance
08 Mar
New Jack
1 : 0 Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
01 Apr
New Jack
1 : 2 AS Vita Club
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2 OC Renaissance
08 Mar
New Jack
1 : 0 Aigles du Congo
28 Feb
New Jack
1 : 1 FC Renaissance
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Motema Pembe
(Away) 18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 AS Vita Club
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18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 Motema Pembe
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
