Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Star Ducos vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 game between New Star Ducos and Samaritaine finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Star Ducos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
New Star Ducos
35%
Draws
22%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Star Ducos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Samaritaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans New Star Ducos's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
New Star Ducos Clean Sheet 20%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Star Ducos Samaritaine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Samaritaine
0:1
Feb 2, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Samaritaine
2:0
Sep 21, 2018 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs New Star Ducos
0:1
Feb 3, 2018 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs New Star Ducos
1:1
Sep 27, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Samaritaine
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Star Ducos 67 / 100
Samaritaine 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Star Ducos Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Star Ducos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samaritaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

New Star Ducos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Samaritaine's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Samaritaine
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New Star Ducos

(Home)
21 May
Essor-Prechotain
1 : 0
New Star Ducos
14 May
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
US Riveraine
07 May
New Star Ducos
0 : 0
Club Colonial
30 Apr
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 1
New Star Ducos
23 Apr
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
Aiglon Lamentin
Page 1 of 6

Samaritaine

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 6