Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York City II vs Rochester New York

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Turnbull S.
32'
Beer J.
39'
Sub
Batiz J. In: Inalien W.
Out: Batiz J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2022 game between New York City II and Rochester New York finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochester New York.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
New York City II
28%
Draws
22%
Rochester New York
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rochester New York carry the better recent record into this one.
  • New York City II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New York City II here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New York City II Clean Sheet 16%
Rochester New York Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City II Rochester New York
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs New York City II
2:3
Jul 16, 2022 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Rochester New York
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs New York City II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rochester New York Compare

Top Goalscorer Inalien W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City II 48 / 100
Rochester New York 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City II Rochester New York

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

New York City II scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rochester New York conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

New York City II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City II VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City II

(Home)
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
11 Jul
Crown Legacy
0 : 3
New York City II
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4
New York City II
21 Jun
New York City II
1 : 2
Chattanooga
17 Jun
New York City II
3 : 2
Carolina Core
Page 1 of 6

Rochester New York

(Away)
05 Apr
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Rochester New York
24 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 1
Rochester New York
18 Sept
Rochester New York
2 : 3
New York City II
11 Sept
Toronto FC II
0 : 1
Rochester New York
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
Rochester New York
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toronto FC II241401044:3841
2Rochester New York241401037:3040
3Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
4New York City II241301149:3537
5New England Revolution II241001427:4233
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Inter Miami II241101340:4936
3Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
4Orlando City B24801640:5325
5FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
4Real Monarchs24701728:5023
5Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 224160851:3449
2Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
3North Texas24150948:3146
4Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
5Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
6Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Toronto FC II241401044:3841
3Rochester New York241401037:3040
4Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
5New York City II241301149:3537
6Inter Miami II241101340:4936
7New England Revolution II241001427:4233
8Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
9Orlando City B24801640:5325
10FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2St. Louis City 224160851:3449
3Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
4North Texas24150948:3146
5San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
6Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
8Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
9Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
10Real Monarchs24701728:5023
11Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)