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New York Red Bulls II vs Chicago Fire II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 MSU Soccer Park
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
5 - 3
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rojas A.
Assist: Mosquera R.
6' Event
Shokalook J.
Assist: Diouf J.
25' Event
Mitchell R.
Assist: Mina J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between New York Red Bulls II and Chicago Fire II finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
New York Red Bulls II
22%
Draws
18%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New York Red Bulls II come out ahead of Chicago Fire II on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on New York Red Bulls II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls II Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs New York Red Bulls II
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Chicago Fire II
5:3
Aug 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Chicago Fire II
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs New York Red Bulls II
9:2
Apr 6, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Chicago Fire II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Shokalook J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 56 / 100
Chicago Fire II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls II Chicago Fire II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Chicago Fire II let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

New York Red Bulls II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS Chicago Fire II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Carolina Core1
New England Revolution II0
Chicago Fire II1
Philadelphia Union II2
FC Cincinnati 21
Chattanooga0
Huntsville City2
San Jose Earthquakes II3
North Texas0
Colorado Rapids 23
Vancouver Whitecaps 22
St. Louis City 23
Ventura County0
Real Monarchs1
Minnesota United 22
Quarter-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Chicago Fire II3
Philadelphia Union II1
Huntsville City0
San Jose Earthquakes II2
Colorado Rapids 24
St. Louis City 20
Minnesota United 22
Semi-finals
New York Red Bulls II2
Philadelphia Union II1
Colorado Rapids 22
Minnesota United 21
Final
New York Red Bulls II4
Colorado Rapids 23