Sport Picks
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
USA
MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY 
Match Events
18'
18'
Uzcategui R.
24'
24'
Sub
Faello C. In: Baitinger S.
Out: Faello C.
35'
35'
Nelich D.
Assist: Baitinger S.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between New York Red Bulls II and Philadelphia Union II finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New York Red Bulls II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and New York Red Bulls II come out ahead of Philadelphia Union II on wins alone.
- Model gives New York Red Bulls II a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors New York Red Bulls II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 16%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Red Bulls II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
5:0
May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:1
Aug 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York Red Bulls II Compare
Top Goalscorer Nelich D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Baitinger S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Philadelphia Union II Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York Red Bulls II 84 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York Red Bulls II Philadelphia Union II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New York Red Bulls II's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Philadelphia Union II let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
New York Red Bulls II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New York Red Bulls II VS Philadelphia Union II
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
New York Red Bulls II
(Home) 24 Jul
New York Red Bulls II
0 : 3 Crown Legacy
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2 New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
New York Red Bulls II
0 : 3 Crown Legacy
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
24 May
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 3 CT United FC
17 May
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 3 New York City II
Page 1 of 4
Philadelphia Union II
(Away) 18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
Orlando City B
1 : 2 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
Orlando City B
1 : 2 Philadelphia Union II
05 Jun
Crown Legacy
1 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)