Sport Picks
New York Red Bulls vs New York City
USA
MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ 
Match Events
23'
23'
Raul Gustavo
24'
24'
Marshall-Rutty J.
39'
39'
Sub
Moralez M. In: Perea A.
Out: Moralez M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- New York Red Bulls haven't matched New York City's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 13%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | New York City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs New York City
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 US Open Cup
New York Red Bulls vs New York City
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs New York City
2:3
May 17, 2025 MLS
New York City vs New York Red Bulls
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 MLS
New York City vs New York Red Bulls
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York Red Bulls Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruvalcaba J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
New York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Perea A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York Red Bulls 35 / 100
New York City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York Red Bulls New York City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: New York City conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
New York Red Bulls scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: New York Red Bulls stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New York Red Bulls VS New York City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
New York Red Bulls
(Home) 25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1 New York Red Bulls
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
02 May
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2 FC Dallas
29 Apr
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3 New York City
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New York City
(Away) 25 Jul
New York City
3 : 1 Chicago Fire
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2 New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1 New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0 New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 New York City
Page 1 of 7
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2 New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1 New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0 New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 New York City
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 New York City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)