Sport Picks
New Zealand U16 vs New Caledonia U16
Australia & Oceania
OFC Championship U16 2024 
Match Events
3'
3'
Cartwright A.
29'
29'
Cardozo J.
43'
43'
Cartwright A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with New Zealand U16 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U16
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- New Zealand U16 carry the better recent record into this one.
- New Zealand U16 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- New Zealand U16 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor New Zealand U16, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- New Zealand U16 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
New Zealand U16 Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Zealand U16 | New Caledonia U16 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 22 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2025 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs New Zealand U16
0:2
Aug 21, 2025 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs New Caledonia U16
0:0
Aug 8, 2024 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs New Caledonia U16
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Zealand U16 Compare
Top Goalscorer Cartwright A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Cardozo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
New Caledonia U16 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Zealand U16 85 / 100
New Caledonia U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Zealand U16 New Caledonia U16
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Zealand U16's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
New Caledonia U16 let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.
New Zealand U16 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Scoring Trends
New Zealand U16 VS New Caledonia U16
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
New Zealand U16
(Home) 22 Jul
New Zealand U16
3 : 0 Papua New Guinea U16
19 Jul
Vanuatu U16
0 : 7 New Zealand U16
16 Jul
New Zealand U16
6 : 1 Tahiti U16
13 Jul
New Zealand U16
5 : 1 Solomon Islands U16
30 Aug
New Caledonia U16
0 : 2 New Zealand U16
Page 1 of 5
22 Jul
New Zealand U16
3 : 0 Papua New Guinea U16
16 Jul
New Zealand U16
6 : 1 Tahiti U16
13 Jul
New Zealand U16
5 : 1 Solomon Islands U16
27 Aug
New Zealand U16
2 : 0 Papua New Guinea U16
21 Aug
New Zealand U16
0 : 0 New Caledonia U16
Page 1 of 3
New Caledonia U16
(Away) 23 Jul
New Caledonia U16
2 : 3 Tahiti U16
18 Jul
Samoa U16
1 : 1 New Caledonia U16
15 Jul
New Caledonia U16
0 : 1 Papua New Guinea U16
12 Jul
New Caledonia U16
0 : 2 Fiji U16
30 Aug
New Caledonia U16
0 : 2 New Zealand U16
Page 1 of 5
18 Jul
Samoa U16
1 : 1 New Caledonia U16
27 Aug
Fiji U16
1 : 2 New Caledonia U16
24 Aug
Samoa U16
0 : 5 New Caledonia U16
21 Aug
New Zealand U16
0 : 0 New Caledonia U16
08 Aug
New Zealand U16
5 : 0 New Caledonia U16
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
New Zealand U165
New Caledonia U160
Tahiti U161
Fiji U162
Final
New Zealand U163
Fiji U161
New Caledonia U162
Tahiti U161