Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Supyk L.
16' Event
Nganyane R.
69' Event
Hnaissilin J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2023 game between New Zealand U17 and New Caledonia U17 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U17
6%
Draws
4%
New Caledonia U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New Zealand U17 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 12%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U17 New Caledonia U17
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:1
Jan 11, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17
3:2
Feb 25, 2017 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:7
Jan 19, 2015 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17
5:4
Apr 19, 2013 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Supyk L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

New Caledonia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nganyane R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U17 83 / 100
New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U17 New Caledonia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U17 scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

New Caledonia U17 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

New Caledonia U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U17 VS New Caledonia U17
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U17

(Home)
11 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 4
Austria U17
08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2
New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0
New Zealand U17
18 Nov
New Zealand U17
0 : 4
Mexico U17
15 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 3
Germany U17
Page 1 of 7

New Caledonia U17

(Away)
09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0
New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0
New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6
Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0
New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiji U1722006:06
2Samoa U1721016:33
3Tonga U1720020:90
4Papua New Guinea U1700000:00
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U17220014:26
2New Caledonia U1721019:33
3American Samoa U1720020:180
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U1722008:16
2Vanuatu U1721013:33
3Cook Islands U1720021:80
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)