Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2011 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2011 game between New Zealand U17 and Papua New Guinea U17 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand U17
6%
Draws
90%
Papua New Guinea U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea U17 haven't matched New Zealand U17's recent run of results.
  • Papua New Guinea U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Zealand U17 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Papua New Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U17 Papua New Guinea U17
Matches Played 34 18
Wins 20 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2017 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
2:1
Jan 17, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Papua New Guinea U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:3
Apr 24, 2013 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
4:0
Jan 16, 2011 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U17 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U17 Papua New Guinea U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U17's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Papua New Guinea U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.

Away concern: Papua New Guinea U17 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U17 VS Papua New Guinea U17
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U17

(Home)
11 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 4
Austria U17
08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2
New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0
New Zealand U17
18 Nov
New Zealand U17
0 : 4
Mexico U17
15 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 3
Germany U17
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Papua New Guinea U17

(Away)
22 Feb
New Zealand U17
2 : 1
Papua New Guinea U17
18 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
2 : 1
Tahiti U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
12 Feb
New Caledonia U17
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U17
21 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17
1 : 2
New Caledonia U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U17440013:112
2Vanuatu U17430113:59
3Papua New Guinea U1742024:76
4Fiji U17410310:63
5American Samoa U1740041:220
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U17440014:212
2Solomon Islands U17430122:49
3New Caledonia U17420227:66
4Cook Islands U1741038:153
5Tonga U1740042:460
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)