Sport Picks

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New Zealand U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022 Stade Pater, Papeete
New Zealand U19 Logo

New Zealand U19

5 - 0
FT
Papua New Guinea U19 Logo

Papua New Guinea U19

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mkay D. O.
26' Event
Mkay D. O.
60' Event
Herdman J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2022 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U19
6%
Draws
4%
Papua New Guinea U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Zealand U19 lately — more wins on the board than Papua New Guinea U19.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U19 taking it.
  • New Zealand U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 Papua New Guinea U19
Matches Played 16 18
Wins 16 5
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 12
Goals Scored 4.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:10
Sep 19, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
5:0
Aug 11, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mkay D. O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Colloty O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.31

Papua New Guinea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 85 / 100
Papua New Guinea U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 Papua New Guinea U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U19 scored in 100% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

New Zealand U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea U19 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U19 VS Papua New Guinea U19
4.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U19

(Home)
18 Jul
New Caledonia U19
0 : 4
New Zealand U19
15 Jul
New Zealand U19
1 : 0
Fiji U19
11 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 10
New Zealand U19
09 Jul
New Zealand U19
5 : 0
Samoa U19
05 Jul
New Zealand U19
3 : 0
New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 4

Papua New Guinea U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
07 Jun
Tonga U19
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea U19
15 Jul
Vanuatu U19
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U19
11 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 10
New Zealand U19
08 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
1 : 2
New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
New Zealand U195
Papua New Guinea U190
Tahiti U191
Vanuatu U190
New Caledonia U191
Solomon Islands U190
Fiji U194
Samoa U191
Semi-finals
New Zealand U192
Tahiti U190
New Caledonia U190
Fiji U191
Final
New Zealand U193
Fiji U190
Tahiti U191
New Caledonia U192