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World Cup U20 Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso

New Zealand U20

0 - 3

Japan U20

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Ogura K.

Assist: Yokoyama Y.

32'

Ukich S.

40'

Mckenlay F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Japan U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

New Zealand U20

17%

Draws

70%

Japan U20

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Japan U20's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what New Zealand U20 have produced (1).
70% — that's where the model lands on Japan U20 taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Japan U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

New Zealand U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Japan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New Zealand U20	Japan U20
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	3	8
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.2	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.20	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 World Cup U20

New Zealand U20 vs Japan U20

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogura K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ishii H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 14 / 100

Japan U20 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New Zealand U20 Japan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Japan U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: New Zealand U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 VS Japan U20

1 Goals Scored 1.63

2.2 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 63%

20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U20

(Home)

03 Oct

New Zealand U20

0 : 3

Japan U20

30 Sept

Egypt U20

1 : 2

New Zealand U20

27 Sept

Chile U20

2 : 1

New Zealand U20

07 Jun

Chile U20

2 : 1

New Zealand U20

04 Jun

Chile U20

3 : 1

New Zealand U20

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Japan U20

(Away)

11 Jun

Venezuela U20

0 : 1

Japan U20

06 Jun

Japan U20

1 : 0

Canada U20

03 Jun

Japan U20

1 : 4

Portugal U20

01 Jun

Japan U20

3 : 3

Ivory Coast U20

14 Nov

England U20

1 : 1

Japan U20

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