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New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nathan R.
47'
60' Event
Morris T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between New Zealand U20 W and Australia U20 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
Australia U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Australia U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U20 W haven't matched Australia U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Australia U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
New Zealand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Australia U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U20 W Australia U20 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.75 3.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Friendly International Women
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
1:1
Jul 11, 2024 Friendly International Women
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
1:1
Jun 12, 2022 Friendly International Women
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
2:1
Aug 17, 2006 World Cup Women U20
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nathan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Australia U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Morris T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 W 10 / 100
Australia U20 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U20 W Australia U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U20 W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Australia U20 W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

New Zealand U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 W VS Australia U20 W
0.75 Goals Scored 3.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U20 W

(Home)
08 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 3
Ghana U20 W
06 Sept
Austria U20 W
3 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
03 Sept
Japan U20 W
7 : 0
New Zealand U20 W
14 Jul
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 1
Australia U20 W
11 Jul
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 1
Australia U20 W
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Australia U20 W

(Away)
12 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Australia U20 W
08 Apr
Japan U20 W
5 : 2
Australia U20 W
05 Apr
India U20 W
0 : 5
Australia U20 W
02 Apr
Australia U20 W
5 : 0
Chinese Taipei U20 W
30 Nov
Australia U20 W
4 : 1
South Korea U20 W
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