Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Zealand vs Ivory Coast

World World

Friendly International 2025 BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Diomande M.
25'
McCowatt C.
29'
Sub
McCowatt C. In: Old B.
Out: McCowatt C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between New Zealand and Ivory Coast finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand
6%
Draws
90%
Ivory Coast
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast come out ahead of New Zealand on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ivory Coast a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 10%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand Ivory Coast
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 2.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.57 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International
New Zealand vs Ivory Coast
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Just E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Ivory Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 10 / 100
Ivory Coast 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand Ivory Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ivory Coast conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: New Zealand remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Ivory Coast
1.14 Goals Scored 2
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand

(Home)
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
06 Jun
England
1 : 0
New Zealand
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0
New Zealand
Page 1 of 6

Ivory Coast

(Away)
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
08 Jun
Philadelphia Union II
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6