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New Zealand vs Ivory Coast Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Diomande M.
25'
McCowatt C.
29'
Sub
McCowatt C. In: Old B.
Out: McCowatt C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between New Zealand and Ivory Coast finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
New Zealand
15%
Draws
48%
Ivory Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast come out ahead of New Zealand on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 11%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand Ivory Coast
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.21 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International
New Zealand vs Ivory Coast
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Just E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ivory Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 30 / 100
Ivory Coast 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand Ivory Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: New Zealand remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ivory Coast has conceded goals in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Ivory Coast
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand

(Home)
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
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Ivory Coast

(Away)
29 Sept
Somalia
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
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