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New Zealand W vs Venezuela W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Marbella Football Center, Málaga
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Castellanos D.
38' Event
Kitching K.
40' Event
Romero M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between New Zealand W and Venezuela W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venezuela W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand W
6%
Draws
4%
Venezuela W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • New Zealand W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 68%
Venezuela W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand W Venezuela W
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 3.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 Friendly International Women
New Zealand W vs Venezuela W
2:1
May 31, 2025 Friendly International Women
New Zealand W vs Venezuela W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitching K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Venezuela W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand W 95 / 100
Venezuela W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand W Venezuela W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

New Zealand W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Venezuela W let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

New Zealand W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand W VS Venezuela W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand W

(Home)
09 Jun
New Zealand W
0 : 0
Morocco W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
New Zealand W
5 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
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Venezuela W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
18 Apr
Venezuela W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 1
Venezuela W
07 Mar
Club America W
2 : 2
Venezuela W
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