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Newcastle Utd U19 vs AC Milan U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Whitley Park, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sub
Thompson C. In: Shahar L.
Out: Thompson C.
8' Event
Liberali M.
Assist: Jimenez A.
44'
Stalmach D.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 game between Newcastle Utd U19 and AC Milan U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Newcastle Utd U19
15%
Draws
85%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Milan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Milan U19 come out ahead of Newcastle Utd U19 on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on AC Milan U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AC Milan U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Newcastle Utd U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 15 37
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Newcastle Utd U19 vs AC Milan U19
3:1
Sep 19, 2023 UEFA Youth League
AC Milan U19 vs Newcastle Utd U19
4:0
Feb 12, 2013 Viareggio Cup
AC Milan U19 vs Newcastle Utd U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernes T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heffernan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Liberali M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U19 18 / 100
AC Milan U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U19 AC Milan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Newcastle Utd U19's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Difficult form: AC Milan U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U19 VS AC Milan U19
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.83 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Leverkusen U19
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U19
25 Nov
Marseille U19
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U19
05 Nov
Newcastle Utd U19
2 : 3
Ath Bilbao U19
21 Oct
Newcastle Utd U19
1 : 5
Benfica U19
01 Oct
Royale Union SG U19
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U19
Page 1 of 3

AC Milan U19

(Away)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen U19 6 4 1 1 18:7 13
2 Bayern U19 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Galatasaray U19 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Manchester United U19 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens U19 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Sevilla U19 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Arsenal U19 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 2 0 14:1 14
2 Braga U19 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 4:17 4
4 Union Berlin U19 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salzburg U19 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
2 Inter U19 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
3 Benfica U19 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
4 Real Sociedad U19 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord U19 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:3 12
3 Lazio U19 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Celtic U19 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U19 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Dortmund U19 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
3 Newcastle Utd U19 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
4 PSG U19 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U19 6 4 2 0 17:6 14
2 RB Leipzig U19 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Young Boys U19 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
3 Shakhtar U19 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
4 Antwerp U19 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)