Sport Picks

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Newcastle Utd U23 vs Birmingham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Northumberland FA, Newcastle
Newcastle Utd U23 Logo

Newcastle Utd U23

1 - 0
FT
Birmingham U23 Logo

Birmingham U23

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Bassey O.
47'
Campbell T.
53'
Cross B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newcastle Utd U23
15%
Draws
57%
Birmingham U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birmingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle Utd U23 lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Newcastle Utd U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Birmingham U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U23 Birmingham U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2022 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Birmingham U23
1:0
Jan 21, 2022 Premier League Cup
Birmingham U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
0:2
Oct 11, 2021 Premier League Cup
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Birmingham U23
4:0
Aug 23, 2021 Premier League 2
Birmingham U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Birmingham U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U23 34 / 100
Birmingham U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U23 Birmingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U23 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Birmingham U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Birmingham U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U23 VS Birmingham U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U23

(Home)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham U23

(Away)
02 Jul
Hednesford
3 : 5
Birmingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
01 Apr
Fulham U23
3 : 0
Birmingham U23
21 Mar
Birmingham U23
2 : 1
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)