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Newcastle Utd vs Strasbourg

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Chilwell B. In: Del Blanco M.
Out: Chilwell B.
38' Event
Osula W.
Assist: Murphy J.
46'
Sub
Burn D. In: Johnson H.
Out: Burn D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Newcastle Utd and Strasbourg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strasbourg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Newcastle Utd
20%
Draws
40%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Strasbourg have produced (1.46).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd Strasbourg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Strasbourg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Osula W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Strasbourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Yassine G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd 35 / 100
Strasbourg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Strasbourg conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Newcastle Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd VS Strasbourg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd

(Home)
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2
West Brom
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Strasbourg

(Away)
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2
Strasbourg
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