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Newells Old Boys W vs Velez Sarsfield W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2025 Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ceballos A.
56' Event
Ceballos A.
61' Event
Ceballos A.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys W in this Primera A Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newells Old Boys W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Newells Old Boys W
44%
Draws
20%
Velez Sarsfield W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys W have won more games recently than Velez Sarsfield W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Newells Old Boys W Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Sarsfield W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys W Velez Sarsfield W
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2025 Primera A Women
Newells Old Boys W vs Velez Sarsfield W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceballos A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Larroquette M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Velez Sarsfield W Compare

Top Goalscorer De Angelis B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys W 36 / 100
Velez Sarsfield W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys W Velez Sarsfield W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Sarsfield W let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Velez Sarsfield W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Newells Old Boys W scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys W VS Velez Sarsfield W
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newells Old Boys W16141134:743
2CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1694323:1131
3Boca Juniors W1693421:1130
4Gimnasia L.P. W1693414:830
5CA Banfield W1676322:1527
6Ferro W1683523:2027
7Social Atletico Television W1674518:925
8San Lorenzo W1674524:1625
9River Plate W1674522:1725
10Racing Club W1658323:1323
11San Luis W1671813:2222
12Huracan W1646614:1718
13Talleres Cordoba W1653823:2918
14CA Independiente W1634913:3113
15Velez Sarsfield W16241011:3010
16Platense W1621139:297
17Rosario Central W1611149:314