Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newport City vs Ammanford Town

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Newport City
6%
Draws
90%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ammanford Town lately — more wins on the board than Newport City.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ammanford Town taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Newport City Clean Sheet 10%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newport City Ammanford Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Newport City
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ammanford Town
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Newport City
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ammanford Town
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport City 10 / 100
Ammanford Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newport City Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Newport City scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ammanford Town conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Newport City stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newport City VS Ammanford Town
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport City

(Home)
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5
Newport
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0
Newport City
18 Apr
Newport City
0 : 5
Trefelin
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Cardiff Draconians
0 : 1
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

Ammanford Town

(Away)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Treowen
1 : 5
Ammanford Town
24 Mar
Ammanford Town
0 : 0
Cambrian United
20 Mar
Ammanford Town
1 : 0
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)