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Newroz vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Newroz and Duhok finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Newroz
35%
Draws
32%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Newroz Clean Sheet 20%
Duhok Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newroz Duhok
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Newroz
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Newroz
1:4
Dec 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newroz 32 / 100
Duhok 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newroz Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newroz's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Duhok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Newroz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newroz VS Duhok
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newroz

(Home)
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 3
Newroz
22 Aug
Al Gharraf
1 : 0
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
22 Aug
Duhok
3 : 3
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Zawraa 7 4 3 0 13:3 15
2 Al-Karma 6 4 2 0 11:4 14
3 Erbil 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
4 Al Shorta 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Al Naft 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
6 Al Golan 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Al Talaba 6 2 3 1 7:10 9
8 Newroz 6 2 2 2 11:4 8
9 Duhok 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
10 Diyala 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
11 Al Mosul 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Al Minaa 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
15 Zakho 6 1 3 2 5:9 6
16 Karbala 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Al Gharraf 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
18 Al Kahraba 6 0 4 2 4:7 4
19 Naft Missan 6 0 4 2 2:8 4
20 Al Karkh 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)