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Newroz vs Duhok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Newroz and Duhok finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Newroz
35%
Draws
28%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Newroz taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Newroz Clean Sheet 17%
Duhok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newroz Duhok
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Newroz
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Newroz
1:4
Dec 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newroz 41 / 100
Duhok 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newroz Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newroz's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Duhok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Newroz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Newroz VS Duhok
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newroz

(Home)
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 12 8 3 1 19:9 27
2 Al Naft 12 7 4 1 14:5 25
3 Newroz 12 6 5 1 17:5 23
4 Al Zawraa 12 6 3 3 17:9 21
5 Al Shorta 12 5 6 1 13:6 21
6 Al Golan 12 5 5 2 16:12 20
7 Erbil 12 5 4 3 15:8 19
8 Al Minaa 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
9 Duhok 12 3 6 3 19:16 15
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 12 3 6 3 7:8 15
11 Al Talaba 12 3 6 3 13:16 15
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 12 2 7 3 14:13 13
13 Diyala 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
14 Zakho 12 3 4 5 9:15 13
15 Al Gharraf 12 3 4 5 8:14 13
16 Al Mosul 12 3 3 6 13:20 12
17 Al Karkh 12 2 3 7 15:21 9
18 Naft Missan 12 1 6 5 7:15 9
19 Al Kahraba 12 1 5 6 7:14 8
20 Karbala 12 1 4 7 11:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)