Sport Picks
Newry City vs Drumaness
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup The Showgrounds, Newry 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Drumaness at 1.59 per game, Newry City at 1.3.
- Win probability leans Newry City's way, sitting at 50%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Drumaness, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Newry City Clean Sheet 68%
Drumaness Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newry City | Drumaness |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 22 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 21, 2025 Irish Cup
Newry City vs Drumaness
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newry City 59 / 100
Drumaness 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newry City Drumaness
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newry City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Drumaness's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 21 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Newry City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newry City VS Drumaness
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Newry City
(Home) 18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2 Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3 Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
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18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3 Warrenpoint
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4 Glenavon
28 Jul
Newry City
1 : 0 Bangor FC
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Drumaness
(Away) 17 Feb
Glentoran
5 : 0 Drumaness
10 Jan
Armagh
1 : 4 Drumaness
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2 Drumaness
25 Nov
Ballymacash
3 : 1 Drumaness
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
: Drumaness
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17 Feb
Glentoran
5 : 0 Drumaness
10 Jan
Armagh
1 : 4 Drumaness
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2 Drumaness
25 Nov
Ballymacash
3 : 1 Drumaness
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
: Drumaness
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3
