Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs FC Nomads of Connahs Quay

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2014/2015 Latham Park, Newtown
Newtown Logo

Newtown

2 - 0
FT
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Logo

FC Nomads of Connahs Quay

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
45' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Newtown advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Newtown
39%
Draws
30%
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Nomads of Connahs Quay haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Newtown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newtown, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Newtown Clean Sheet 15%
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 14 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2014 FA Cup
Newtown vs FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 31 / 100
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown FC Nomads of Connahs Quay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newtown scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

FC Nomads of Connahs Quay let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Nomads of Connahs Quay's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
18 Apr
Ruthin Town
2 : 3
Newtown
11 Apr
Newtown
1 : 2
Llandudno FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
03 Apr
Newtown
1 : 2
Mold Alexandra
28 Mar
Holyhead
2 : 0
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

FC Nomads of Connahs Quay

(Away)
04 Oct
Penrhyncoch
2 : 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
03 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 3
Denbigh
29 Nov
Newtown
2 : 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
08 Nov
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
5 : 2
Llangollen
04 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 0
Brynford
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhayader1
Carno FC0
STM Sports0
Haverfordwest2
Prestatyn-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ammanford Town5
Sully Sports2
Llwydcoed0
Cardiff Metropolitan University9
Holywell Town FC4
Hay St. Marys2
Welshpool0
Mold Alexandra4
Waterloo Rovers2
Llanuwchllyn1
Ruthin Town2
Buckley3
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont1
Dinas Powys0
Ton Pentre0
Monmouth3
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Gresford3
Llay Welfare1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC2
Llanfair United3
Meliden3
Rhydymwyn0
Llangefni3
St. Asaph6
Caernarfon4
Porthmadog0
Penycae FC1
Guilsfield3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llangollen3
Llandrindod2
Brynford0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay1
Tiger Bay3
Trefelin2
Butetown FC2
Dynamo Aber4
Llanberis FC6
Nantlle Vale FC5
Llandudno FC0
Caersws FC1
Conwy Borough2
Holyhead0
Coedpoeth0
Denbigh3
Aberdare Town4
Barry Town2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Briton Ferry4
Garden Village9
AFC Porth0
Canton1
Risca United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor City-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion Rovers3
Cardiff Corries1
Cambrian United0
Undy2
Penrhyncoch2
Flint Town1
Gaerwen0
Llanidloes Town4
Cwmbran Celtic2
Llanelli1
Taffs Well0
Caerau Ely3
Llanrhaeadr4
Glan Conwy FC2
Kerry1
Brickfield Rangers2
Marshfield2
Tata Steel1
Chepstow Town0
Afan Lido4
Goytre Utd4
Goytre AFC0
Pontardawe0
Cornelly1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
Rhayader1
Haverfordwest2
Prestatyn-
TBD-
Ammanford Town2
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Holywell Town FC1
Mold Alexandra0
Waterloo Rovers0
Buckley6
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Penybont1
Monmouth3
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Gresford2
Llanfair United1
Meliden0
St. Asaph1
Caernarfon1
Guilsfield0
TBD-
TNS-
Newtown-
TBD-
Llangollen2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay5
Tiger Bay3
Dynamo Aber2
Llanberis FC0
Caersws FC3
Conwy Borough5
Denbigh0
Aberdare Town1
Briton Ferry5
Garden Village2
Risca United1
TBD-
Bangor City-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Albion Rovers0
Undy2
Penrhyncoch2
Llanidloes Town0
Cwmbran Celtic0
Caerau Ely2
Llanrhaeadr2
Brickfield Rangers1
Marshfield1
Afan Lido4
Goytre Utd5
Cornelly1
TBD-
Rhyl-
1/16-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC5
Haverfordwest0
Prestatyn1
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Holywell Town FC1
Buckley0
Cefn Druids1
Aberystwyth5
Connahs Q.5
Monmouth3
Port Talbot1
Bala2
Gresford5
St. Asaph0
Caernarfon2
TNS3
Newtown2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay0
Tiger Bay0
Caersws FC4
Conwy Borough4
Briton Ferry3
Garden Village0
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town4
Undy2
Penrhyncoch0
Caerau Ely5
Llanrhaeadr3
Afan Lido0
Goytre Utd1
Rhyl2
1/8-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Holywell Town FC0
Aberystwyth1
Connahs Q.3
Bala2
Gresford0
TNS3
Newtown3
Caersws FC2
Conwy Borough0
Bangor City3
Carmarthen Town4
Caerau Ely0
Llanrhaeadr2
Rhyl4
Quarter-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Aberystwyth1
Connahs Q.0
TNS1
Newtown2
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town1
Rhyl2
Semi-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
TNS4
Newtown2
Rhyl1
Final
TNS2
Newtown0