Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ngozi City play Le Messager Ngozi in the Primus League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ngozi City averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Le Messager Ngozi averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Ngozi City won 1, Le Messager Ngozi won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Ngozi City and 1.63 for Le Messager Ngozi. This points to a Le Messager Ngozi double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ngozi City picked up more points recently compared to Le Messager Ngozi.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ngozi City scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Le Messager Ngozi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Ngozi City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Le Messager Ngozi lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigle Noir | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 62:25 | 71 |
| 2 | Musongati | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 59 |
| 3 | Flambeau du Centre | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:23 | 56 |
| 4 | Royal Vision | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 47:31 | 53 |
| 5 | Rukinzo | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 49:28 | 50 |
| 6 | Vital'O | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 45:27 | 50 |
| 7 | Bumamuru | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47:33 | 49 |
| 8 | Muzinga | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:38 | 43 |
| 9 | Olympic Star | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:35 | 39 |
| 10 | Kayanza United | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 40:45 | 36 |
| 11 | Le Messager Ngozi | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:33 | 33 |
| 12 | Ngozi City | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:43 | 33 |
| 13 | Inter Star | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 37:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Dynamik | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 15 | Garage Express | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 15:61 | 18 |
| 16 | Green Farmers | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 25:84 | 7 |