Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nice vs Lorient

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nice host Lorient in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Nice at 0.75 goals for, 0.88 against; Lorient at 1.88 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Nice have won 2 to Lorient's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.38, favoring Lorient. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nice
33%
Draws
27%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nice are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nice Clean Sheet 17%
Lorient Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Lorient
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Coupe de France
Lorient vs Nice
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
3:3
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Nice
3:1
Apr 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Nice
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 39 / 100
Lorient 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nice scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Lorient conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Lorient
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 7

Lorient

(Away)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
17 May
Lorient
0 : 2
Le Havre
10 May
Metz
0 : 4
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auxerre00000:00
2Le Havre00000:00
3Le Mans00000:00
4Lille00000:00
5Lorient00000:00
6Monaco00000:00
7Nice00000:00
8PSG00000:00
9Strasbourg00000:00
10Angers00000:00
11Brest00000:00
12Troyes00000:00
13Paris FC00000:00
14Marseille00000:00
15Toulouse00000:00
16Lens00000:00
17Rennes00000:00
18Lyon00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)