Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera

Lorient

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nice host Lorient in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Nice at 0.88 goals for, 1 against; Lorient at 1.5 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Nice have won 2 to Lorient's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.25, favoring Lorient. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Nice

44%

Draws

20%

Lorient

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Lorient carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Nice Clean Sheet 19%

Lorient Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nice	Lorient
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	9	13
Draws	10	9
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Coupe de France

Lorient vs Nice

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1

Nice vs Lorient

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

3:3

Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1

Lorient vs Nice

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Apr 19, 2024 Ligue 1

Nice vs Lorient

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Aug 20, 2023 Ligue 1

Lorient vs Nice

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 36 / 100

Lorient 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nice Lorient

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nice scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lorient conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Lorient

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	Auxerre	0:0
2	Le Havre	0:0
3	Le Mans	0:0
4	Lille	0:0
5	Lorient	0:0
6	Monaco	0:0
7	Nice	0:0
8	PSG	0:0
9	Strasbourg	0:0
10	Angers	0:0
11	Brest	0:0
12	Troyes	0:0
13	Paris FC	0:0
14	Marseille	0:0
15	Toulouse	0:0
16	Lens	0:0
17	Rennes	0:0
18	Lyon	0:0