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Nice vs Metz

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Ligue 1 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera
0 - 0
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nice play Metz in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nice averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Metz averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Nice won 3, Metz won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Nice and 1.25 for Metz. This points to a Nice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nice
44%
Draws
20%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Nice has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Metz.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligue 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nice Clean Sheet 19%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Metz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Metz
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Metz
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice
0:1
Jan 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 36 / 100
Metz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Metz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Metz let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Nice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Metz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Metz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617