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Nice vs Metz

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Allianz Riviera, Nice
0 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Wahi E.
46'
Sub
Boudache K. In: Cho M.
Out: Boudache K.
46'
Sub
Vanhoutte C. In: Boudaoui H.
Out: Vanhoutte C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nice
39%
Draws
30%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nice have won more games recently than Metz.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nice Clean Sheet 20%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Metz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Metz
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Metz
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice
0:1
Jan 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 32 / 100
Metz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Metz let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Nice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Metz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Metz

(Away)
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1
Sittard
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
17 Jul
Metz
6 : 0
RFC Seraing
11 Jul
Metz
2 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
11 Jul
Metz
1 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)